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Saturday, November 05 2022
Nets vs. Wizards prediction, odds, spread, line: 2022 NBA picks, Nov. 4 best bets from proven simulation model

The Brooklyn Nets aim to right the ship on Friday evening as the Nets are off to a dreadful 2-6 start, including an 0-2 mark on the road. The Nets will face the Washington Wizards at Capital One Area in a tilt between Eastern Conference teams. Washington is 4-4 overall and 2-2 at home this season. Delon Wright (hamstring) is out for the Wizards. Kyrie Irving (suspension), Seth Curry (ankle), Ben Simmons (knee) and T.J. Warren (foot) are out for Brooklyn.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Wizards as 3-point home favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 222 in the latest Nets vs. Wizards odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Wizards vs. Nets match-up, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 97-65 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Wizards and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nets vs. Wizards:

  • Nets vs. Wizards spread: Nets +3
  • Nets vs. Wizards over/under: 222 points 
  • Nets vs. Wizards money line: Nets +130, Wizards -155
  • BKN: The Nets are 1-7 against the spread this season 
  • WASH: The Wizards are 3-4-1 against the spread this season 
  • Nets vs. Wizards picks: See picks here

Why the Nets can cover

Brooklyn's offense is capable of significant efficiency. The Nets are shooting 48.0% from the field this season, a top-five mark in the NBA, and Brooklyn is also near the top of the league in 2-point accuracy at 56.9%. Brooklyn has a 58.9% true shooting mark, and the Nets are in the top ten of the NBA in free throw creation (25.5 attempts per game) and free throw accuracy (80.4%). The Nets are also facing a Washington defense that is in the bottom five of the NBA in turnover creation and 3-point percentage allowed (40.4%) this season. 

On defense, the Nets lead the league with 8.4 blocked shots per game, and Brooklyn is in the top ten of the league with 15.0 turnovers created per contest. Brooklyn is in the top ten of the NBA in 2-point defense with opponents shooting 50.7% inside the arc, and the Nets are above-average in assists allowed. Washington's offense is No. 29 in the NBA in 3-pointers (9.6 per game), with a bottom-10 mark in free throw creation.

Why the Wizards can cover

Washington is facing a Brooklyn defense that has all kinds of issues. The Nets are dead-last in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season, giving up 118.3 points per 100 possessions. The Nets are also dead-last in defensive rebound rate at 65.0%, and Brooklyn is No. 29 in the league in 3-point percentage allowed to opponents at 41.2%. Washington is in the top six of the NBA in FG percentage (48.3%) and FT percentage (81.5%), and the Wizards have a pair of standouts averaging at least 21 points per game.

On defense, the Wizards are in the top five of the NBA in defensive rebound rate (75.7%) and blocked shots (6.4 per game), and Washington has top-10 marks in field goal percentage allowed, 2-point percentage allowed, and assists allowed. Brooklyn struggles mightily on the offensive glass, further allowing Washington to lean on its defensive strengths.

How to make Nets vs. Wizards picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, with projecting a combined 233 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.

 

Posted by: AT 01:47 am   |  Permalink   |  Email
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