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Sunday, December 18 2022
Warriors vs. 76ers prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Dec. 16 best bets from proven model

The Golden State Warriors aim to right the ship on the road on Friday. The Warriors are just 2-13 on the road this season, leading to a 14-15 overall record, and Golden State visits the Philadelphia 76ers for a high-profile tilt. Philadelphia is 15-12 overall, including three straight wins, and 10-5 at home this season. Stephen Curry (shoulder), Andrew Wiggins (adductor) and Draymond Green (quad) are out for the Warriors, with Klay Thompson (knee) questionable. Tyrese Maxey (foot) is out for Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is listed as a 10-point favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 220.5 in the latest Warriors vs. 76ers odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the 76ers vs. Warriors match-up, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 26-10 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $1,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. 76ers and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for 76ers vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. 76ers spread: 76ers -10
  • Warriors vs. 76ers over/under: 220.5 points 
  • Warriors vs. 76ers money line: 76ers -480, Warriors +360
  • GSW: The Warriors are 3-12 against the spread on the road 
  • PHL: The 76ers are 10-4-1 against the spread at home 
  • Warriors vs. 76ers picks: 

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State's offense has clear and notable strengths. The Warriors are in the top five of the NBA in overall shooting efficiency, and is accurate across the board from a shooting standpoint. The Warriors are in the top eight in field goal percentage (47.8%), 2-point percentage (57.0%) and 3-point percentage (37.8%) this season. Golden State also has the best passing numbers in the league, sitting atop the NBA in assists (29.3 per game) and assisting on a league-best 68.4% of field goals. 

Golden State is also above-average in a few spots on defense, with opponents shooting 46.6% from the field and 35.0% from 3-point range. The Warriors create 15.5 turnovers per game, and Philadelphia struggles to generate effectiveness on the glass. The 76ers are dead-last in the NBA in second-chance points, and Philadelphia is No. 28 in the league in offensive rebound rate.

Why the 76ers can cover

In addition to a prolific offense that features superstar contributors, the 76ers are excelling on defense this season. Philadelphia is in the top five of the NBA in defensive efficiency, yielding only 109.1 points per 100 possessions. The 76ers lead the league in 3-point defense, holding opponents to 32.6% shooting from deep, and Philadelphia generates positive havoc. That manifests with top-seven marks in turnovers created (16.0 per game) and steals (8.6 per game), and Philadelphia is also in the top 10 in second-chance points allowed (13.0 per game).

This is also a friendly defensive matchup in some key categories for the 76ers. Golden State is dead-last in the NBA in free throw creation with only 19.3 attempts per game. The Warriors are also No. 29 in turnovers (17.0 per game) and No. 28 in points in the paint. On offense, Philadelphia is elite in 3-point accuracy and free throw accuracy, with Golden State sitting at the bottom of the NBA in free throw prevention on defense.

How to make Warriors vs. 76ers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, with only three players projected to score more than 18 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

 

Posted by: AT 11:19 pm   |  Permalink   |  Email
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