NOTE: Our SportsLine model, developed by predictive data engineer Stephen Oh, simulates the entire season 10,000 times to produce the most unbiased and precise projections imaginable.
1. Milwaukee Bucks (56-22)
- 🔒Clinched top-three seed
- Remaining schedule: at Wizards, vs. Bulls, vs. Grizzlies, at Raptors
- Current first-round matchup: TBD
- Tiebreaker vs. Boston: Celtics clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Philadelphia: Bucks own via division winner
2. Boston Celtics (54-24)
- 🔒Clinched top-three seed
- Remaining schedule: at 76ers, vs. Raptors, vs. Raptors, vs. Hawks
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Heat-Hawks play-in winner
- Tiebreaker vs. Milwaukee: Celtics clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Philadelphia: Celtics clinched
3. Philadelphia 76ers (51-27)
- 🔒Clinched top-four seed
- Remaining schedule: vs. Celtics, vs. Heat, at Hawks, at Nets
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Nets
- Tiebreaker vs. Milwaukee: Bucks own via division winner
- Tiebreaker vs. Boston: Celtics clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Cleveland: Sixers clinched
4. Cleveland Cavaliers (49-30)
- 🔒Clinched playoff spot
- Remaining schedule: at Magic, at Magic, vs. Hornets
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Knicks
- Tiebreaker vs. Philadelphia: Sixers clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. New York: Knicks clinched
5. New York Knicks (46-33)
- 🔒Clinched playoff spot
- Remaining schedule: at Pacers, at Pelicans, vs. Pacers
- Current first-round matchup: at Cavaliers
- Tiebreaker vs. Cleveland: Knicks clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Brooklyn: Knicks currently own via division win percentage
6. Brooklyn Nets (43-35)
- Remaining schedule: vs. Wolves, at Pistons, vs. Magic, vs. 76ers
- Current first-round matchup: at 76ers
- Tiebreaker vs. New York: Knicks currently own via division win percentage
- Tiebreaker vs. Miami: Nets clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Atlanta: Nets clinched
PLAY-IN TOURNAMENT
7. Miami Heat (41-37)
- Remaining schedule: at Pistons, at 76ers, at Wizards, vs. Magic
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Hawks (play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. Brooklyn: Nets clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Atlanta: Heat clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Toronto: Raptors clinched
8. Atlanta Hawks (39-39)
- Remaining schedule: at Bulls, vs. Wizards, vs. 76ers, at Celtics
- Current first-round matchup: at Heat (play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. Brooklyn: Nets clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Miami: Heat clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Toronto: Hawks clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Washington: Hawks leads 2-1 with one to play
- Tiebreaker vs. Chicago: Bulls lead 2-1 with one to play
9. Toronto Raptors (39-39)
- 🔒Clinched play-in spot
- Remaining schedule: at Hornets, at Celtics, at Celtics, vs. Bucks
- Current first-round matchup: vs. Bulls (play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. Miami: Raptors clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Atlanta: Hawks clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Washington: Raptors clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Chicago: Raptors clinched
10. Chicago Bulls (38-40)
- Remaining schedule: vs. Hawks, at Bucks, at Mavericks, vs. Pistons
- Current first-round matchup: at Raptors (play-in)
- Tiebreaker vs. Toronto: Raptors clinched
- Tiebreaker vs. Chicago: Bulls currently own via conference win percentage
STILL ALIVE
Orlando Magic (34-44)
- Remaining schedule: vs. Cavs, vs. Cavs, at Nets, at Heat
- Tiebreaker vs. Chicago: Bulls currently own via conference win percentage